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Cavaliers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 4

FinalIntuit Dome · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN OH, FanDuel SN SoCal
52% win CLEwin LAC 48%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin0.7
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (23-26) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (30-21) on Wednesday, February 4 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 124 – Clippers 91. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 13-10 at home and the Cavaliers are 13-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Clippers and 8-2 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Clippers L1, Cavaliers W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Clippers 115 – 116 Cavaliers, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.7 / CLE +3.7 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
-0.7

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

CLELAC
119.8
Points scored / game
112.7
115.5
Points allowed / game
112.0
46.8 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
36.7 %
3-point %
39.0 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
79.3 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
40.8
26.3
Assists / game
25.0
8.8
Steals / game
12.5
7.5
Blocks / game
4.5
17.3
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4529pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #459assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3111rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #225pts / game
Kris DunnG · #86assists
Yanic Konan NiederhauserC · #148rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CLE lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

CLELAC
30-21Record23-26
119.8Points scored / game112.7
115.5Points allowed / game112.0
+3.7Adjusted margin / game+0.7
W1Current streakL1
8-2Last 10 games7-3
13-10 roadHome / road record13-10 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.