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Rockets vs Bucks prediction NBA · Sunday, November 9

FinalFiserv Forum · Space City Home Network, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN WI
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
6-3 · away
Final score
122-115
Projected: 116-115
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
6-4 · home
54% win HOUwin MIL 46%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin1.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (6-3) host the Houston Rockets (5-3) on Sunday, November 9 at 3:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 122 – Bucks 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 4-1 at home and the Rockets are 3-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for the Bucks and 5-3 for the Rockets (current streaks: Bucks W1, Rockets L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bucks 115 – 116 Rockets, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL +2.1 / HOU +5.7 per game
-3.6
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
-1.3

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Rockets win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUMIL
117.7
Points scored / game
117.7
111.0
Points allowed / game
115.2
51.7 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
40.4 %
3-point %
34.0 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
84.7 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
49.8
28.2
Assists / game
24.6
10.2
Steals / game
5.8
6.0
Blocks / game
4.0
15.8
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #731pts / game
Kevin DurantF · #77assists
Alperen SengunC · #2811rebounds
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #737pts / game
Cole AnthonyG · #506assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #78rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

HOU lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

HOUMIL
5-3Record6-3
117.7Points scored / game117.7
111.0Points allowed / game115.2
+5.7Adjusted margin / game+2.1
L1Current streakW1
5-3Last 10 games6-3
3-2 roadHome / road record4-1 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.