Bucks vs Rockets prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 1
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (46-29) host the Milwaukee Bucks (30-45) on Wednesday, April 1 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 113 – Rockets 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 26-10 at home and the Bucks are 13-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Rockets and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: Rockets W3, Bucks W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Rockets 117 – 107 Bucks, a margin of about 10.2 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Rockets and the Bucks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+3.8 vs -4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (114.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILHOU
Top performers
Bucks
Ousmane DiengF · #2136pts / gameOusmane DiengF · #2110assists
Jericho SimsC · #0020reboundsRockets
Reed SheppardG · #1527pts / game
Kevin DurantF · #79assists
Alperen SengunC · #289reboundsRecent form
MILHOU
HOU
Team comparison
| MIL | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-45 | Record | 46-29 |
| 111.3 | Points scored / game | 114.4 |
| 116.1 | Points allowed / game | 109.9 |
| -4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 13-24 road | Home / road record | 26-10 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.