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Suns vs Clippers prediction NBA · Saturday, November 8

FinalIntuit Dome · ESPN, Arizona's Family 3TV, FanDuel SN SoCal
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
5-5 · away
Final score
114-103
Projected: 111-116
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
3-6 · home
34% win PHXwin LAC 66%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin5.1
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (3-5) host the Phoenix Suns (4-5) on Saturday, November 8 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Suns 114 – Clippers 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 66% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 3-2 at home and the Suns are 0-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for the Clippers and 4-5 for the Suns (current streaks: Clippers L3, Suns W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Suns have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 116 – 111 Suns, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.8 / PHX -2.0 per game
+2.8
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+5.1

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Suns win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXLAC
114.9
Points scored / game
111.9
117.3
Points allowed / game
111.0
45.6 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
31.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
73.9 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
40.8
25.3
Assists / game
25.0
8.7
Steals / game
12.5
5.3
Blocks / game
4.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Suns
Devin BookerG · #1521pts / game
Devin BookerG · #159assists
Devin BookerG · #1510rebounds
Clippers
Ivica ZubacC · #4021pts / game
James HardenG · #113assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4015rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHXLAC
4-5Record3-5
114.9Points scored / game111.9
117.3Points allowed / game111.0
-2.0Adjusted margin / game+0.8
W1Current streakL3
4-5Last 10 games3-5
0-4 roadHome / road record3-2 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.