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Clippers vs Suns prediction NBA · Thursday, November 6

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA TV
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
3-5 · away
Final score
102-115
Projected: 115-113
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
4-5 · home
56% win LACwin PHX 44%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin1.8
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (3-5) host the LA Clippers (3-4) on Thursday, November 6 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 102 – Suns 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 3-1 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for the Suns and 3-4 for the Clippers (current streaks: Suns L1, Clippers L2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Suns 113 – 115 Clippers, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.7 vs +1.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX -2.7 / LAC +1.4 per game
-4.1
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
-1.8

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Clippers win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

LACPHX
112.4
Points scored / game
114.9
110.8
Points allowed / game
118.1
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
39.0 %
3-point %
31.9 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
78.6 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
39.7
25.0
Assists / game
25.3
12.5
Steals / game
8.7
4.5
Blocks / game
5.3
23.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Clippers
Ivica ZubacC · #4023pts / game
Kris DunnG · #86assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4011rebounds
Suns
Jalen GreenG · #429pts / game
Devin BookerG · #157assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2510rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACPHX
3-4Record3-5
112.4Points scored / game114.9
110.8Points allowed / game118.1
+1.4Adjusted margin / game-2.7
L2Current streakL1
3-4Last 10 games3-5
0-2 roadHome / road record3-1 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.