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Suns vs Clippers prediction NBA · Friday, October 24

FinalIntuit Dome · NBA League Pass, Arizona's Family 3TV, FanDuel SN SoCal
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
1-1 · away
Final score
102-129
Projected: 110-117
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
1-1 · home
30% win PHXwin LAC 70%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin6.7
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (0-1) host the Phoenix Suns (1-0) on Friday, October 24 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Suns 102 – Clippers 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Clippers and 1-0 for the Suns (current streaks: Clippers L1, Suns W1).

The analysis Model

The Clippers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Clippers 117 – 110 Suns, a margin of about 6.7 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+2.3 vs -2.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +2.3 / PHX -2.1 per game
+4.4
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+6.7

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
40%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Suns win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXLAC
114.1
Points scored / game
112.5
116.6
Points allowed / game
109.8
45.6 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
31.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
73.9 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
40.8
25.3
Assists / game
25.0
8.7
Steals / game
12.5
5.3
Blocks / game
4.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #321pts / game
Devin BookerG · #157assists
Oso IghodaroF · #116rebounds
Clippers
James HardenG · #130pts / game
Chris PaulG8assists
James HardenG · #17rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHXLAC
1-0Record0-1
114.1Points scored / game112.5
116.6Points allowed / game109.8
-2.1Adjusted margin / game+2.3
W1Current streakL1
1-0Last 10 games0-1
0-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.