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Hornets vs 76ers prediction NBA · Saturday, October 25

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE, NBC Sports Phil
39% win CHAwin PHI 61%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin3.4
Projected total224
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (1-0) host the Charlotte Hornets (1-0) on Saturday, October 25 at 7:30 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 121 – 76ers 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. Since the start of the season: 1-0 for the 76ers and 1-0 for the Hornets (current streaks: 76ers W1, Hornets W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the 76ers, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects 76ers 114 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -4.8 / CHA -5.9 per game
+1.1
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
+3.4

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hornets win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAPHI
107.5
Points scored / game
110.2
114.4
Points allowed / game
115.9
41.7 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
30.6 %
3-point %
32.6 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
85.2 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
42.2
20.6
Assists / game
24.6
6.8
Steals / game
9.8
5.2
Blocks / game
5.6
19.0
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #127pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
LaMelo BallG · #110rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09assists
Andre DrummondC · #013rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHAPHI
1-0Record1-0
107.5Points scored / game110.2
114.4Points allowed / game115.9
-5.9Adjusted margin / game-4.8
W1Current streakW1
1-0Last 10 games1-0
0-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.