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76ers vs Hornets prediction NBA · Saturday, March 28

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
33% win PHIwin CHA 67%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin5.7
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (39-34) host the Philadelphia 76ers (40-33) on Saturday, March 28 at 6:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 118 – Hornets 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 67% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hornets are 19-17 at home and the 76ers are 19-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Hornets W5, 76ers W1).

The analysis Model

The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 117 – 112 76ers, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +2.3 / PHI -1.0 per game
+3.4
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
+5.7

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
76ers win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

PHICHA
115.2
Points scored / game
114.8
116.4
Points allowed / game
112.0
42.8 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
32.6 %
3-point %
30.6 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
77.5 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
47.4
24.6
Assists / game
20.6
9.8
Steals / game
6.8
5.6
Blocks / game
5.2
12.6
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2129pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #08assists
Paul GeorgeF · #1313rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2429pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Kon KnueppelG · #711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHICHA
40-33Record39-34
115.2Points scored / game114.8
116.4Points allowed / game112.0
-1.0Adjusted margin / game+2.3
W1Current streakW5
6-4Last 10 games7-3
19-16 roadHome / road record19-17 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.