Crvena Zvezda vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, March 23
At a glance
Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) on Tuesday, March 23 at 1:30 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 67% chance to win and projects a 86-81 score (Crvena Zvezda – Anadolu Efes), about 168 total points. This season, Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 2-1 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Anadolu Efes L1, Crvena Zvezda W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Crvena Zvezda is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Anadolu Efes 81 – 86 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 168 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.9 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's offense (86.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVEFS
Recent form
CZV
103-73W
100-78L
82-85W
90-81W
84-82EFS
88-118W
89-80W
85-70L93-101L
66-89Team comparison
| CZV | EFS | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 3-5 |
| 86.3 | Points scored / game | 81.9 |
| 81.3 | Points allowed / game | 86.4 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 12-26 (-4.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.