Anadolu Efes vs Crvena Zvezda prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 1
At a glance
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (0-2) host Anadolu Efes Istanbul (1-1) on Thursday, October 1 at 2:00 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Anadolu Efes 72 – Crvena Zvezda 77. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 0-2 at home and Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-2 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and 1-1 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul (current streaks: Crvena Zvezda L2, Anadolu Efes W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Crvena Zvezda, but Anadolu Efes has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Crvena Zvezda 87 – 81 Anadolu Efes, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 169 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's offense (85.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
EFSCZVRecent form
EFS
94-84L
82-89CZV
80-81L
77-83Team comparison
| EFS | CZV | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 0-2 |
| 81.7 | Points scored / game | 85.4 |
| 84.8 | Points allowed / game | 85.3 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-1 | Last 10 games | 0-2 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 12-26 (-4.2) | Last season | 21-18 (+1.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.