Valencia vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 2
At a glance
LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (1-1) host Valencia Basket (2-0) on Friday, October 2 at 2:00 PM ET at LDLC ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Valencia 105 – LDLC ASVEL 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Valencia Basket a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 1-0 at home and Valencia Basket are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne and 2-0 for Valencia Basket (current streaks: LDLC ASVEL L1, Valencia W2).
The analysis Model
Valencia starts with a clear edge. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 83 – 91 Valencia, a margin of about 7.8 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-6.1 vs +4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VBCASV
Recent form
VBC
111-88W
96-94ASV
79-102W
84-74Team comparison
| VBC | ASV | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 1-1 |
| 93.0 | Points scored / game | 79.7 |
| 87.2 | Points allowed / game | 86.8 |
| +4.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-0 | Last 10 games | 1-1 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 28-16 (+4.1) | Last season | 8-30 (-7.3) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.