LDLC ASVEL vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 21
At a glance
Valencia Basket (6-2) host LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) on Thursday, January 21 at 2:00 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 89% chance to win and projects a 82-96 score (LDLC ASVEL – Valencia), about 178 total points. This season, Valencia Basket are 3-2 at home and LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Valencia Basket and 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (current streaks: Valencia W2, LDLC ASVEL W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 16% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Valencia starts with a clear edge. The model projects Valencia 96 – 82 LDLC ASVEL, a margin of about 14.3 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ASVVBC
Recent form
ASV
82-75L
85-105L
92-111L
82-84W
98-96VBC
86-78W104-93L
88-91L
97-102W
93-82Team comparison
| ASV | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 6-2 |
| 83.0 | Points scored / game | 93.9 |
| 90.3 | Points allowed / game | 88.1 |
| -6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 3-2 home |
| 8-30 (-7.3) | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.