Anadolu Efes vs Real Madrid prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 14
At a glance
Real Madrid (6-3) host Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) on Thursday, January 14 at 2:45 PM ET at MOVISTAR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 87% chance to win and projects a 80-93 score (Anadolu Efes – Real Madrid), about 173 total points. This season, Real Madrid are 3-0 at home and Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Real Madrid and 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul (current streaks: Real Madrid W6, Anadolu Efes L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 19% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Real Madrid starts with a clear edge. The model projects Real Madrid 93 – 80 Anadolu Efes, a margin of about 12.8 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+5.7 vs -3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
EFSRMB
Recent form
EFS
88-118W
89-80W
85-70L
93-101L
66-89RMB
95-76W
104-86W
113-99W
111-92W
98-89Team comparison
| EFS | RMB | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 6-3 |
| 81.9 | Points scored / game | 92.4 |
| 86.4 | Points allowed / game | 85.6 |
| -3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W6 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 1-4 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 12-26 (-4.2) | Last season | 28-16 (+5.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.