Real Madrid vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, September 29
At a glance
Anadolu Efes Istanbul (0-1) host Real Madrid (0-1) on Tuesday, September 29 at 1:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. Final score: Real Madrid 84 – Anadolu Efes 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Real Madrid a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Real Madrid are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 0-1 for Real Madrid (current streaks: Anadolu Efes L1, Real Madrid L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Real Madrid, but Anadolu Efes has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Anadolu Efes 81 – 86 Real Madrid, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 167 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-3.9 vs +3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (86.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
RMBEFS
Recent form
RMB
77-78EFS
82-89Team comparison
| RMB | EFS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 86.9 | Points scored / game | 80.3 |
| 82.4 | Points allowed / game | 84.9 |
| +3.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 0-1 | Last 10 games | 0-1 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 0-0 home |
| 28-16 (+5.1) | Last season | 12-26 (-4.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.