Olympiacos vs Real Madrid prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 7
At a glance
Real Madrid (6-3) host Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) on Thursday, January 7 at 2:45 PM ET at MOVISTAR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 59% chance to win and projects a 87-89 score (Olympiacos – Real Madrid), about 176 total points. This season, Real Madrid are 3-0 at home and Olympiacos Piraeus are 5-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Real Madrid and 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus (current streaks: Real Madrid W6, Olympiacos W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Real Madrid is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Real Madrid 89 – 87 Olympiacos, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Olympiacos needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
OLYRMB
Recent form
OLY
81-73L
61-64W
105-100W
102-97W
89-66RMB95-76W
104-86W
113-99W
111-92W
98-89Team comparison
| OLY | RMB | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 6-3 |
| 90.9 | Points scored / game | 92.4 |
| 83.5 | Points allowed / game | 85.6 |
| +6.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | W6 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 5-1 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 31-12 (+8.0) | Last season | 28-16 (+5.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.