Real Madrid vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Friday, November 20
At a glance
Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Real Madrid (6-3) on Friday, November 20 at 2:15 PM ET at SUNEL ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 63% chance to win and projects a 86-90 score (Real Madrid – Olympiacos), about 176 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Real Madrid are 3-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 6-3 for Real Madrid (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Real Madrid W6). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Olympiacos is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Olympiacos 90 – 86 Real Madrid, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Real Madrid needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
RMBOLY
Recent form
RMB
95-76W
104-86W
113-99W
111-92W
98-89OLY
81-73L61-64W
105-100W
102-97W
89-66Team comparison
| RMB | OLY | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 6-2 |
| 92.4 | Points scored / game | 90.9 |
| 85.6 | Points allowed / game | 83.5 |
| +5.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| W6 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 3-3 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 28-16 (+5.1) | Last season | 31-12 (+8.0) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.