Virtus Bologna vs Baskonia prediction EuroLeague · Friday, January 8
At a glance
Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) host Virtus Bologna (4-4) on Friday, January 8 at 2:30 PM ET at BUESA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Virtus Bologna a 51% chance to win and projects a 88-87 score (Virtus Bologna – Baskonia), about 175 total points. This season, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 1-4 at home and Virtus Bologna are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz and 4-4 for Virtus Bologna (current streaks: Baskonia L5, Virtus Bologna L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Baskonia 87 – 88 Virtus Bologna, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of Virtus Bologna and a total around 175 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Virtus Bologna's defense allows clearly fewer points (86.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VIRKBA
Recent form
VIR
74-91L
81-90W86-78W
96-94W
94-87KBA
86-104L
79-85L78-86L
79-93L
84-92Team comparison
| VIR | KBA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 1-7 |
| 83.4 | Points scored / game | 86.0 |
| 86.9 | Points allowed / game | 93.6 |
| -3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.5 |
| L2 | Current streak | L5 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 1-7 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 1-4 home |
| 14-24 (-4.6) | Last season | 13-25 (-4.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.