Baskonia vs Virtus Bologna prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 16
At a glance
Virtus Bologna (3-2) host Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-4) on Friday, October 16 at 2:30 PM ET at PALADOZZA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Baskonia 78 – Virtus Bologna 86. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Virtus Bologna a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Virtus Bologna are 1-0 at home and Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for Virtus Bologna and 1-4 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (current streaks: Virtus Bologna W3, Baskonia L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Virtus Bologna, but Baskonia has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Virtus Bologna 91 – 85 Baskonia, a margin of about 6.6 points in favor of Virtus Bologna and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Baskonia's offense (87.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Virtus Bologna's defense allows clearly fewer points (87.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
KBAVIR
Recent form
KBA
79-93L
84-92W
86-76L
88-111L
89-106VIR
96-94W
94-87W96-94L85-87L
68-78Team comparison
| KBA | VIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 3-2 |
| 87.1 | Points scored / game | 84.1 |
| 94.0 | Points allowed / game | 87.0 |
| -5.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.5 |
| L2 | Current streak | W3 |
| 1-4 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 13-25 (-4.7) | Last season | 14-24 (-4.6) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.