Hapoel TLV vs Baskonia prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 17
At a glance
Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) on Tuesday, November 17 at 2:30 PM ET at BUESA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 73% chance to win and projects a 93-85 score (Hapoel TLV – Baskonia), about 178 total points. This season, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 1-4 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz and 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Baskonia L5, Hapoel TLV W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Hapoel TLV starts with a clear edge. The model projects Baskonia 85 – 93 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 7.2 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-6.5 vs +3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Hapoel TLV's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
HTAKBA
Recent form
HTA
118-88W
90-81W
91-81W
100-82L
82-93KBA
86-104L79-85L78-86L
79-93L84-92Team comparison
| HTA | KBA | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 1-7 |
| 90.4 | Points scored / game | 86.0 |
| 85.8 | Points allowed / game | 93.6 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.5 |
| W4 | Current streak | L5 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 1-7 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-4 home |
| 24-18 (+1.9) | Last season | 13-25 (-4.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.