Baskonia vs Hapoel TLV prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, February 10
At a glance
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) host Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) on Wednesday, February 10 at 1:45 PM ET at ARENA 8888 SOFIA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 88% chance to win and projects a 82-96 score (Baskonia – Hapoel TLV), about 178 total points. This season, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 4-1 at home and Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv and 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (current streaks: Hapoel TLV W4, Baskonia L5). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 17% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Hapoel TLV dominates this matchup. The model projects Hapoel TLV 96 – 82 Baskonia, a margin of about 13.6 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.9 vs -6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Hapoel TLV's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
KBAHTA
Recent form
KBA
86-104L
79-85L
78-86L
79-93L
84-92HTA
118-88W90-81W91-81W100-82L
82-93Team comparison
| KBA | HTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 6-2 |
| 86.0 | Points scored / game | 90.4 |
| 93.6 | Points allowed / game | 85.8 |
| -6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.9 |
| L5 | Current streak | W4 |
| 1-7 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 0-3 road | Home / road record | 4-1 home |
| 13-25 (-4.7) | Last season | 24-18 (+1.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.