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Hornets vs Knicks prediction NBA · Thursday, April 1

Thu, Apr 1 · 7:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden · DAZN CHA
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
3-2 · away
Projected score
107-115
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
2-3 · home
26% win CHAwin NY 74%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin8.1
Projected total221
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (2-3) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-2) on Thursday, April 1 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 74% chance to win and projects a 107-115 score (Hornets – Knicks), about 221 total points. This season, the Knicks are 1-2 at home and the Hornets are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Knicks and 3-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Knicks W2, Hornets L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 25% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets), Kylan Boswell (Hornets) and Jose Alvarado (Knicks). Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Knicks 115 – 107 Hornets, a margin of about 8.1 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 221 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others).

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.8 / CHA +1.1 per game
+2.8
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
InjuriesNY: 1 out, 0 questionable · CHA: 4 out, 1 questionable
+3.1
Expected marginfor Knicks
+8.1

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
44%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Hornets win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

CHANY
111.6
Points scored / game
114.5
110.3
Points allowed / game
110.0
41.7 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
30.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
85.2 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
48.2
20.6
Assists / game
26.8
6.8
Steals / game
7.2
5.2
Blocks / game
4.4
19.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Players to watch

Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
WBKN110-103LATL128-81WMIA115-110WWSH110-103LDET97-89
NY
LPHI106-100LBOS107-103LORL111-102WDET111-97WCHI133-127

Head-to-head

3 meetings scheduled this season.

Feb 9CHAupcomingNYMar 26NYupcomingCHAApr 1CHAthis gameNY

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
CHA 26% · NY 74%
ESPN BPI
CHA 29% · NY 71%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

CHANY
3-2Record2-3
111.6Points scored / game114.5
110.3Points allowed / game110.0
+1.1Adjusted margin / game+3.8
L1Current streakW2
3-2Last 10 games2-3
1-1 roadHome / road record1-2 home
44-38 (+4.8)Last season53-29 (+6.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

Kon Knueppel GOut
Coby White GOut
Grant Williams FOut
Kylan Boswell GOut
Dennis Schroder GDay-To-Day

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

Jose Alvarado GOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.