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Knicks vs Hornets prediction NBA · Friday, March 26

Fri, Mar 26 · 7:00 PM ETSpectrum Center · NBA TV, DAZN CHA
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
2-3 · away
Projected score
112-109
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
3-2 · home
61% win NYwin CHA 39%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin3.5
Projected total221
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (3-2) host the New York Knicks (2-3) on Friday, March 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 61% chance to win and projects a 112-109 score (Knicks – Hornets), about 221 total points. This season, the Hornets are 2-1 at home and the Knicks are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Hornets and 2-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Hornets L1, Knicks W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jose Alvarado (Knicks), Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets) and Kylan Boswell (Hornets). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 109 – 112 Knicks, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 221 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +1.1 / NY +3.8 per game
-2.8
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
InjuriesCHA: 4 out, 1 questionable · NY: 1 out, 0 questionable
-3.1
Expected marginfor Hornets
-3.5

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Knicks win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

NYCHA
114.5
Points scored / game
111.6
110.0
Points allowed / game
110.3
42.2 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
35.9 %
3-point %
30.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
75.8 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
47.4
26.8
Assists / game
20.6
7.2
Steals / game
6.8
4.4
Blocks / game
5.2
14.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Players to watch

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
LPHI106-100LBOS107-103LORL111-102WDET111-97WCHI133-127
CHA
WBKN110-103LATL128-81WMIA115-110WWSH110-103LDET97-89

Head-to-head

3 meetings scheduled this season.

Feb 9CHAupcomingNYMar 26NYthis gameCHAApr 1CHAupcomingNY

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
NY 61% · CHA 39%
ESPN BPI
NY 62% · CHA 38%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

NYCHA
2-3Record3-2
114.5Points scored / game111.6
110.0Points allowed / game110.3
+3.8Adjusted margin / game+1.1
W2Current streakL1
2-3Last 10 games3-2
1-1 roadHome / road record2-1 home
53-29 (+6.3)Last season44-38 (+4.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

Jose Alvarado GOut

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

Kon Knueppel GOut
Coby White GOut
Grant Williams FOut
Kylan Boswell GOut
Dennis Schroder GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.