76ers vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Friday, March 26
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Friday, March 26 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 69% chance to win and projects a 111-117 score (76ers – Trail Blazers), about 228 total points. This season, the Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Trail Blazers and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers) and Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Trail Blazers, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Trail Blazers 117 – 111 76ers, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHIPOR
Players to watch
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsRecent form
PHI
106-100W
114-106W
127-116L
106-93W
114-109
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W
128-120W
136-129Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| PHI | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| +0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 45-37 (-0.2) | Last season | 42-40 (-0.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
POR