Trail Blazers vs 76ers prediction NBA · Monday, November 23
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) on Monday, November 23 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 54% chance to win and projects a 114-113 score (Trail Blazers – 76ers), about 228 total points. This season, the 76ers are 2-1 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the 76ers and 3-0 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: 76ers W1, Trail Blazers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Robert Williams III (Trail Blazers), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers), Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers), Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers) and Dominick Barlow (76ers)…. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects 76ers 113 – 114 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 1.2 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). The Trail Blazers will be without Robert Williams III or Chris Youngblood (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORPHI
Players to watch
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3rebounds76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0reboundsRecent form
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129PHI
106-100W
114-106W
127-116L
106-93W
114-109
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| POR | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 4-1 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 114.4 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 113.5 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.7 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 4-1 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 42-40 (-0.3) | Last season | 45-37 (-0.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.