76ers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 24
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (2-3) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Wednesday, March 24 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Warriors a 60% chance to win and projects a 111-114 score (76ers – Warriors), about 226 total points. This season, the Warriors are 0-1 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Warriors and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Warriors W2, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the 76ers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers), Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors) and Moses Moody (Warriors)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Warriors 114 – 111 76ers, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Warriors will be without Kristaps Porzingis or Moses Moody (and 1 other). The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others).
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHIGS
Players to watch
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0reboundsWarriors
Stephen CurryG · #3028.8pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236.8assists
Yaxel LendeborgF · #19.2reboundsRecent form
PHI
106-100W
114-106W
127-116L
106-93W
114-109GS
127-105L
111-108L
131-122W
134-114W
119-114
PHI
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| PHI | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 2-3 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 115.5 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| +0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 45-37 (-0.2) | Last season | 37-45 (-0.6) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.