Match analysis Today's games NBA standings EuroLeague Track record

76ers vs Jazz prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 23

Tue, Mar 23 · 9:00 PM ETDelta Center · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+

Philadelphia 76ers

4-1 · away

Projected score

118-113

Utah Jazz

1-4 · home

64% win PHIwin UTAH 36%

FavoritePHI

Projected margin4.6

Projected total231

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (1-4) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Tuesday, March 23 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the 76ers a 64% chance to win and projects a 118-113 score (76ers – Jazz), about 231 total points. This season, the Jazz are 1-3 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Jazz and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Jazz L3, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers), Jaren Jackson Jr. (Jazz) and Trey Alexander (Jazz)…. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the 76ers, but the Jazz have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Jazz 113 – 118 76ers, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Jazz will be without Jaren Jackson Jr. or Trey Alexander (and 1 other). The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others).

The overall strength gap (-7.0 vs +0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz

Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.0 / PHI +0.7 per game

-7.8

Home-court advantageJazz at home

+2.3

InjuriesUTAH: 3 out, 1 questionable · PHI: 4 out, 1 questionable

+0.9

Expected marginfor Jazz

-4.6

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+

12%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

29%

76ers win by 10+

33%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIUTAH

114.4

Points scored / game

116.1

113.5

Points allowed / game

124.3

42.8 %

Field goal %

45.4 %

32.6 %

3-point %

33.9 %

35.0

3-pointers attempted / game

34.8

77.5 %

Free throw %

76.6 %

42.2

Rebounds / game

46.8

24.6

Assists / game

26.8

9.8

Steals / game

5.0

5.6

Blocks / game

6.4

12.6

Turnovers / game

17.0

Players to watch

76ers

Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game

LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists

Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds

Jazz

Keyonte GeorgeG · #324.4pts / game

Keyonte GeorgeG · #36.8assists

Ace BaileyG · #198.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

PHI

106-100W

114-106W

127-116L

106-93W

114-109

UTAH

123-103W

120-119L

132-123L

110-105L

117-111 OT

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

PHI 64% · UTAH 36%

ESPN BPI

PHI 66% · UTAH 34%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

PHI		UTAH
4-1	Record	1-4
114.4	Points scored / game	116.1
113.5	Points allowed / game	124.3
+0.7	Adjusted margin / game	-7.0
W1	Current streak	L3
4-1	Last 10 games	1-4
2-0 road	Home / road record	1-3 home
45-37 (-0.2)	Last season	22-60 (-8.4)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report 76ers

Jabari Walker FOut

Tacko Fall COut

Dominick Barlow FOut

Ariel Hukporti COut

Jaylen Brown GDay-To-Day

Injury report Jazz

Jaren Jackson Jr. FOut

Trey Alexander GOut

Jusuf Nurkic COut

Lauri Markkanen FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.