Match analysis Today's games NBA standings EuroLeague Track record

Wizards vs Knicks prediction NBA · Saturday, March 20

Sat, Mar 20 · 1:00 PM ETMadison Square Garden

Washington Wizards

2-3 · away

Projected score

106-122

New York Knicks

2-3 · home

10% win WSHwin NY 90%

FavoriteNY

Projected margin16.0

Projected total228

ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (2-3) host the Washington Wizards (2-3) on Saturday, March 20 at 1:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 90% chance to win and projects a 106-122 score (Wizards – Knicks), about 228 total points. This season, the Knicks are 1-2 at home and the Wizards are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Knicks and 2-3 for the Wizards (current streaks: Knicks W2, Wizards L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 14% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Justin Champagnie (Wizards), Tristan Vukcevic (Wizards), Jamir Watkins (Wizards) and Jose Alvarado (Knicks). Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Knicks 122 – 106 Wizards, a margin of about 16.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado. The Wizards will be without Justin Champagnie or Tristan Vukcevic (and 1 other).

The overall strength gap (+3.8 vs -7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks

Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.8 / WSH -7.7 per game

+11.6

Home-court advantageKnicks at home

+2.3

InjuriesNY: 1 out, 0 questionable · WSH: 3 out, 1 questionable

+2.2

Expected marginfor Knicks

+16.0

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+

69%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

14%

Wizards win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

WSHNY

113.1

Points scored / game

114.5

122.2

Points allowed / game

110.0

48.0 %

Field goal %

42.2 %

28.5 %

3-point %

35.9 %

31.6

3-pointers attempted / game

39.0

83.1 %

Free throw %

75.8 %

40.0

Rebounds / game

48.2

25.8

Assists / game

26.8

7.4

Steals / game

7.2

5.6

Blocks / game

4.4

13.6

Turnovers / game

14.8

Players to watch

Wizards

Anthony DavisF · #2321.8pts / game

Trae YoungG · #310.4assists

Anthony DavisF · #238.4rebounds

Knicks

Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game

Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists

Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

WSH

128-116L

112-102W

124-120L

110-103L

121-111

106-100L

107-103L

111-102W

111-97W

133-127

Head-to-head

3 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

WSH 10% · NY 90%

ESPN BPI

WSH 22% · NY 78%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

WSH		NY
2-3	Record	2-3
113.1	Points scored / game	114.5
122.2	Points allowed / game	110.0
-7.7	Adjusted margin / game	+3.8
L2	Current streak	W2
2-3	Last 10 games	2-3
1-2 road	Home / road record	1-2 home
17-65 (-12.0)	Last season	53-29 (+6.3)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Wizards

Justin Champagnie FOut

Tristan Vukcevic FOut

Jamir Watkins GOut

Tre Johnson GDay-To-Day

Injury report Knicks

Jose Alvarado GOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.