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Knicks vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 10

Wed, Mar 10 · 10:30 PM ETIntuit Dome · KTLA, ClipperVision

New York Knicks

2-3 · away

Projected score

113-109

LA Clippers

1-3 · home

65% win NYwin LAC 35%

FavoriteNY

Projected margin4.7

Projected total222

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (1-3) host the New York Knicks (2-3) on Wednesday, March 10 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 65% chance to win and projects a 113-109 score (Knicks – Clippers), about 222 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Knicks are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 2-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Clippers L3, Knicks W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jose Alvarado (Knicks), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers) and Jordan Miller (Clippers). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Clippers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 109 – 113 Knicks, a margin of about 4.7 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers

Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.4 / NY +3.8 per game

-3.4

Home-court advantageClippers at home

+2.3

InjuriesLAC: 5 out, 1 questionable · NY: 1 out, 0 questionable

-3.6

Expected marginfor Clippers

-4.7

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+

12%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

29%

Knicks win by 10+

34%

Stat comparison Current season

NYLAC

114.5

Points scored / game

112.0

110.0

Points allowed / game

111.5

42.2 %

Field goal %

45.9 %

35.9 %

3-point %

39.0 %

39.0

3-pointers attempted / game

35.3

75.8 %

Free throw %

78.6 %

48.2

Rebounds / game

40.8

26.8

Assists / game

25.0

7.2

Steals / game

12.5

4.4

Blocks / game

4.5

14.8

Turnovers / game

23.0

Players to watch

Knicks

Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game

Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists

Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8rebounds

Clippers

Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / game

Darius GarlandG · #106.5assists

Rui HachimuraF · #286.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

106-100L

107-103L

111-102W

111-97W

133-127

LAC

122-110W

121-96L

125-117L

108-101L

103-87

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

NY 65% · LAC 35%

ESPN BPI

NY 72% · LAC 28%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

NY		LAC
2-3	Record	1-3
114.5	Points scored / game	112.0
110.0	Points allowed / game	111.5
+3.8	Adjusted margin / game	+0.4
W2	Current streak	L3
2-3	Last 10 games	1-3
1-1 road	Home / road record	1-1 home
53-29 (+6.3)	Last season	42-40 (+1.1)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Knicks

Jose Alvarado GOut

Injury report Clippers

Yanic Konan Niederhauser COut

Max Strus GOut

Brandon Ingram FOut

Bradley Beal GOut

Jordan Miller GOut

Rui Hachimura FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.