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Clippers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Sunday, January 24

Sun, Jan 24 · 7:00 PM ETMadison Square Garden · ClipperVision
23% win LACwin NY 77%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin9.3
Projected total222
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (2-3) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Sunday, January 24 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 77% chance to win and projects a 106-116 score (Clippers – Knicks), about 222 total points. This season, the Knicks are 1-2 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Knicks and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Knicks W2, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 24% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Jose Alvarado (Knicks). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 116 – 106 Clippers, a margin of about 9.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.8 / LAC +0.4 per game
+3.4
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
InjuriesNY: 1 out, 0 questionable · LAC: 5 out, 1 questionable
+3.6
Expected marginfor Knicks
+9.3

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
48%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Clippers win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

LACNY
112.0
Points scored / game
114.5
111.5
Points allowed / game
110.0
45.9 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
39.0 %
3-point %
35.9 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
78.6 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
25.0
Assists / game
26.8
12.5
Steals / game
7.2
4.5
Blocks / game
4.4
23.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Players to watch

Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
WDEN122-110WSAC121-96LLAL125-117LOKC108-101LLAL103-87
NY
LPHI106-100LBOS107-103LORL111-102WDET111-97WCHI133-127

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
LAC 23% · NY 77%
ESPN BPI
LAC 21% · NY 79%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

LACNY
1-3Record2-3
112.0Points scored / game114.5
111.5Points allowed / game110.0
+0.4Adjusted margin / game+3.8
L3Current streakW2
1-3Last 10 games2-3
0-2 roadHome / road record1-2 home
42-40 (+1.1)Last season53-29 (+6.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

Yanic Konan Niederhauser COut
Max Strus GOut
Brandon Ingram FOut
Bradley Beal GOut
Jordan Miller GOut
Rui Hachimura FDay-To-Day

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

Jose Alvarado GOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.