Pelicans vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 10
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (3-2) host the New Orleans Pelicans (0-4) on Wednesday, March 10 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hornets a 66% chance to win and projects a 111-116 score (Pelicans – Hornets), about 227 total points. This season, the Hornets are 2-1 at home and the Pelicans are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Hornets and 0-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Hornets L1, Pelicans L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Yves Missi (Pelicans), Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets) and Kylan Boswell (Hornets). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 116 – 111 Pelicans, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). The Pelicans will be without Yves Missi. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs -4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pelicans' offense (115.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOCHA
Players to watch
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #121.8pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #56.0assists
Derik QueenC · #229.2reboundsHornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4reboundsRecent form
NO
123-120L
120-119L
141-135 OTL104-91W
132-120CHA
110-103L
128-81W
115-110W
110-103L
97-89
NO
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| NO | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 3-2 |
| 115.7 | Points scored / game | 111.6 |
| 120.5 | Points allowed / game | 110.3 |
| -4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| L4 | Current streak | L1 |
| 0-4 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 26-56 (-4.5) | Last season | 44-38 (+4.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.