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Hornets vs Bulls prediction NBA · Saturday, March 6

Sat, Mar 6 · 5:00 PM ETUnited Center · DAZN CHA
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
3-2 · away
Projected score
116-112
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
1-4 · home
64% win CHAwin CHI 36%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin4.5
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (1-4) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-2) on Saturday, March 6 at 5:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hornets a 64% chance to win and projects a 116-112 score (Hornets – Bulls), about 228 total points. This season, the Bulls are 0-2 at home and the Hornets are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Bulls and 3-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Bulls L3, Hornets L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets), Kylan Boswell (Hornets), Patrick Williams (Bulls) and Nic Claxton (Bulls). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Hornets, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bulls 112 – 116 Hornets, a margin of about 4.5 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others).

  • The overall strength gap (-7.2 vs +1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (115.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -7.2 / CHA +1.1 per game
-8.3
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
InjuriesCHI: 2 out, 2 questionable · CHA: 4 out, 1 questionable
+1.5
Expected marginfor Bulls
-4.5

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
12%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Hornets win by 10+
33%

Stat comparison Current season

CHACHI
111.6
Points scored / game
115.6
110.3
Points allowed / game
124.1
41.7 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
30.6 %
3-point %
27.6 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
85.2 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
44.8
20.6
Assists / game
24.4
6.8
Steals / game
9.0
5.2
Blocks / game
4.8
19.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Players to watch

Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4rebounds
Bulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
WBKN110-103LATL128-81WMIA115-110WWSH110-103LDET97-89
CHI
LTOR135-92WMIL132-125LWSH124-120LBOS134-99LNY133-127

Head-to-head

3 meetings scheduled this season.

Nov 25CHIupcomingCHAMar 6CHAthis gameCHIApr 7CHAupcomingCHI

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
CHA 64% · CHI 36%
ESPN BPI
CHA 61% · CHI 39%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

CHACHI
3-2Record1-4
111.6Points scored / game115.6
110.3Points allowed / game124.1
+1.1Adjusted margin / game-7.2
L1Current streakL3
3-2Last 10 games1-4
1-1 roadHome / road record0-2 home
44-38 (+4.8)Last season31-51 (-5.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

Kon Knueppel GOut
Coby White GOut
Grant Williams FOut
Kylan Boswell GOut
Dennis Schroder GDay-To-Day

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

Patrick Williams FOut
Nic Claxton COut
Jalen Smith FDay-To-Day
Tobe Awaka FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.