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Bulls vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 25

Wed, Nov 25 · 7:00 PM ETSpectrum Center
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
1-4 · away
Projected score
110-119
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
3-2 · home
23% win CHIwin CHA 77%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin9.1
Projected total228
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (3-2) host the Chicago Bulls (1-4) on Wednesday, November 25 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hornets a 77% chance to win and projects a 110-119 score (Bulls – Hornets), about 228 total points. This season, the Hornets are 2-1 at home and the Bulls are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Hornets and 1-4 for the Bulls (current streaks: Hornets L1, Bulls L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 24% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Patrick Williams (Bulls), Nic Claxton (Bulls), Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets) and Kylan Boswell (Hornets). Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

The Hornets start with a clear edge. The model projects Hornets 119 – 110 Bulls, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs -7.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (115.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +1.1 / CHI -7.2 per game
+8.3
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
InjuriesCHA: 4 out, 1 questionable · CHI: 2 out, 2 questionable
-1.5
Expected marginfor Hornets
+9.1

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
47%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Bulls win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

CHICHA
115.6
Points scored / game
111.6
124.1
Points allowed / game
110.3
42.1 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
27.6 %
3-point %
30.6 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
47.4
24.4
Assists / game
20.6
9.0
Steals / game
6.8
4.8
Blocks / game
5.2
17.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Players to watch

Bulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
LTOR135-92WMIL132-125LWSH124-120LBOS134-99LNY133-127
CHA
WBKN110-103LATL128-81WMIA115-110WWSH110-103LDET97-89

Head-to-head

3 meetings scheduled this season.

Nov 25CHIthis gameCHAMar 6CHAupcomingCHIApr 7CHAupcomingCHI

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
CHI 23% · CHA 77%
ESPN BPI
CHI 30% · CHA 70%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

CHICHA
1-4Record3-2
115.6Points scored / game111.6
124.1Points allowed / game110.3
-7.2Adjusted margin / game+1.1
L3Current streakL1
1-4Last 10 games3-2
1-2 roadHome / road record2-1 home
31-51 (-5.2)Last season44-38 (+4.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

Patrick Williams FOut
Nic Claxton COut
Jalen Smith FDay-To-Day
Tobe Awaka FDay-To-Day

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

Kon Knueppel GOut
Coby White GOut
Grant Williams FOut
Kylan Boswell GOut
Dennis Schroder GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.