Lakers vs 76ers prediction NBA · Thursday, March 4
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) host the Los Angeles Lakers (4-1) on Thursday, March 4 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Lakers a 62% chance to win and projects a 115-111 score (Lakers – 76ers), about 226 total points. This season, the 76ers are 2-1 at home and the Lakers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the 76ers and 4-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: 76ers W1, Lakers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the 76ers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Cameron Carr (Lakers), Adou Thiero (Lakers), Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers) and Ariel Hukporti (76ers). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Lakers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 111 – 115 Lakers, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). The Lakers will be without Cameron Carr or Adou Thiero.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALPHI
Players to watch
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7736.0pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #778.2assists
Walker KesslerC · #148.2rebounds76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0reboundsRecent form
LAL
127-105W
125-117W
132-123L
136-129W103-87PHI
106-100W
114-106W
127-116L
106-93W
114-109
PHI
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| LAL | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 4-1 |
| 118.4 | Points scored / game | 114.4 |
| 114.3 | Points allowed / game | 113.5 |
| +3.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 4-1 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 53-29 (+1.8) | Last season | 45-37 (-0.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.