Clippers vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 2
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Tuesday, March 2 at 11:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 72% chance to win and projects a 109-116 score (Clippers – Trail Blazers), about 226 total points. This season, the Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Trail Blazers and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 27% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Trail Blazers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 116 – 109 Clippers, a margin of about 7.2 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACPOR
Players to watch
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsRecent form
LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87POR110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W136-129Head-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| LAC | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 3-0 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 111.5 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| L3 | Current streak | W3 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 42-40 (+1.1) | Last season | 42-40 (-0.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.