Trail Blazers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Sunday, February 28
At a glance
The LA Clippers (1-3) host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) on Sunday, February 28 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 58% chance to win and projects a 114-111 score (Trail Blazers – Clippers), about 226 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 3-0 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Clippers L3, Trail Blazers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers), Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers) and Bradley Beal (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Trail Blazers, but the Clippers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 111 – 114 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORLAC
Players to watch
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsClippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsRecent form
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129LAC
122-110W121-96L125-117L
108-101L103-87Head-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| POR | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 1-3 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| W3 | Current streak | L3 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 42-40 (-0.3) | Last season | 42-40 (+1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.