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Wizards vs Jazz prediction NBA · Saturday, February 27

Sat, Feb 27 · 3:00 PM ETDelta Center · Prime Video

Washington Wizards

2-3 · away

Projected score

116-119

Utah Jazz

1-4 · home

40% win WSHwin UTAH 60%

FavoriteUTAH

Projected margin3.0

Projected total235

ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (1-4) host the Washington Wizards (2-3) on Saturday, February 27 at 3:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Jazz a 60% chance to win and projects a 116-119 score (Wizards – Jazz), about 235 total points. This season, the Jazz are 1-3 at home and the Wizards are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Jazz and 2-3 for the Wizards (current streaks: Jazz L3, Wizards L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Justin Champagnie (Wizards), Tristan Vukcevic (Wizards), Jamir Watkins (Wizards), Jaren Jackson Jr. (Jazz), Trey Alexander (Jazz) and Jusuf Nurkic (Jazz). Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Jazz, but the Wizards have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Jazz 119 – 116 Wizards, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Jazz and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz will be without Jaren Jackson Jr. or Trey Alexander (and 1 other). The Wizards will be without Justin Champagnie or Tristan Vukcevic (and 1 other).

The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz

Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.0 / WSH -7.7 per game

+0.7

Home-court advantageJazz at home

+2.3

InjuriesUTAH: 3 out, 1 questionable · WSH: 3 out, 1 questionable

0.0

Expected marginfor Jazz

+3.0

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+

29%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

30%

Wizards win by 10+

15%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHUTAH

113.1

Points scored / game

116.1

122.2

Points allowed / game

124.3

48.0 %

Field goal %

45.4 %

28.5 %

3-point %

33.9 %

31.6

3-pointers attempted / game

34.8

83.1 %

Free throw %

76.6 %

40.0

Rebounds / game

46.8

25.8

Assists / game

26.8

7.4

Steals / game

5.0

5.6

Blocks / game

6.4

13.6

Turnovers / game

17.0

Players to watch

Wizards

Anthony DavisF · #2321.8pts / game

Trae YoungG · #310.4assists

Anthony DavisF · #238.4rebounds

Jazz

Keyonte GeorgeG · #324.4pts / game

Keyonte GeorgeG · #36.8assists

Ace BaileyG · #198.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

WSH

128-116L

112-102W

124-120L

110-103L

121-111

UTAH

123-103W

120-119L

132-123L

110-105L

117-111 OT

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

WSH 40% · UTAH 60%

ESPN BPI

WSH 41% · UTAH 59%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

WSH		UTAH
2-3	Record	1-4
113.1	Points scored / game	116.1
122.2	Points allowed / game	124.3
-7.7	Adjusted margin / game	-7.0
L2	Current streak	L3
2-3	Last 10 games	1-4
1-2 road	Home / road record	1-3 home
17-65 (-12.0)	Last season	22-60 (-8.4)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Wizards

Justin Champagnie FOut

Tristan Vukcevic FOut

Jamir Watkins GOut

Tre Johnson GDay-To-Day

Injury report Jazz

Jaren Jackson Jr. FOut

Trey Alexander GOut

Jusuf Nurkic COut

Lauri Markkanen FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.