Raptors vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 17
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (3-2) host the Toronto Raptors (3-1) on Wednesday, February 17 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Raptors a 57% chance to win and projects a 111-109 score (Raptors – Hornets), about 220 total points. This season, the Hornets are 2-1 at home and the Raptors are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Hornets and 3-1 for the Raptors (current streaks: Hornets L1, Raptors W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Raptors played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Kawhi Leonard (Raptors), Nate Bittle (Raptors), Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets) and Kylan Boswell (Hornets). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hornets 109 – 111 Raptors, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 220 points. Expect a tighter, lower-scoring game. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). The Raptors will be without Kawhi Leonard or Nate Bittle. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' offense (115.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORCHA
Players to watch
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #922.0pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #55.5assists
Scottie BarnesF · #47.2reboundsHornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4reboundsRecent form
TOR
129-125W
135-92W
112-102L
117-94W
129-99CHA
110-103L
128-81W
115-110W110-103L97-89Head-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
TOR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| TOR | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 3-2 |
| 115.4 | Points scored / game | 111.6 |
| 109.5 | Points allowed / game | 110.3 |
| +5.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-1 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 46-36 (+2.8) | Last season | 44-38 (+4.8) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.