Hornets vs Raptors prediction NBA · Sunday, February 7
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (3-1) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-2) on Sunday, February 7 at 6:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Raptors a 71% chance to win and projects a 106-113 score (Hornets – Raptors), about 220 total points. This season, the Raptors are 2-0 at home and the Hornets are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-1 for the Raptors and 3-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Raptors W1, Hornets L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 27% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Raptors played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets), Kylan Boswell (Hornets), Kawhi Leonard (Raptors) and Nate Bittle (Raptors). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 113 – 106 Hornets, a margin of about 6.7 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 220 points. Expect a tighter, lower-scoring game. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Raptors will be without Kawhi Leonard or Nate Bittle. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' offense (115.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHATOR
Players to watch
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4reboundsRaptors
RJ BarrettF · #922.0pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #55.5assists
Scottie BarnesF · #47.2reboundsRecent form
CHA
110-103L
128-81W
115-110W
110-103L
97-89TOR129-125W
135-92W112-102L
117-94W
129-99Head-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
TOR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| CHA | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 3-1 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 115.4 |
| 110.3 | Points allowed / game | 109.5 |
| +1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-2 | Last 10 games | 3-1 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 44-38 (+4.8) | Last season | 46-36 (+2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.