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Bulls vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 16

Tue, Feb 16 · 10:00 PM ETcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
1-4 · away
Projected score
111-124
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
4-1 · home
14% win CHIwin LAL 86%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin13.3
Projected total234
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (4-1) host the Chicago Bulls (1-4) on Tuesday, February 16 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Lakers a 86% chance to win and projects a 111-124 score (Bulls – Lakers), about 234 total points. This season, the Lakers are 2-1 at home and the Bulls are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the Lakers and 1-4 for the Bulls (current streaks: Lakers W1, Bulls L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 18% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Patrick Williams (Bulls), Nic Claxton (Bulls), Cameron Carr (Lakers) and Adou Thiero (Lakers). Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

The Lakers start with a clear edge. The model projects Lakers 124 – 111 Bulls, a margin of about 13.3 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Lakers will be without Cameron Carr or Adou Thiero. The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.5 vs -7.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +3.5 / CHI -7.2 per game
+10.6
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
InjuriesLAL: 2 out, 1 questionable · CHI: 2 out, 2 questionable
+0.4
Expected marginfor Lakers
+13.3

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
60%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
18%
Bulls win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

CHILAL
115.6
Points scored / game
118.4
124.1
Points allowed / game
114.3
42.1 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
27.6 %
3-point %
39.2 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
24.4
Assists / game
24.0
9.0
Steals / game
10.8
4.8
Blocks / game
5.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
16.6

Players to watch

Bulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7736.0pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #778.2assists
Walker KesslerC · #148.2rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
LTOR135-92WMIL132-125LWSH124-120LBOS134-99LNY133-127
LAL
WGS127-105WLAC125-117WUTAH132-123LPOR136-129WLAC103-87

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Jan 2LALupcomingCHIFeb 16CHIthis gameLAL

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
CHI 14% · LAL 86%
ESPN BPI
CHI 16% · LAL 84%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

CHILAL
1-4Record4-1
115.6Points scored / game118.4
124.1Points allowed / game114.3
-7.2Adjusted margin / game+3.5
L3Current streakW1
1-4Last 10 games4-1
1-2 roadHome / road record2-1 home
31-51 (-5.2)Last season53-29 (+1.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

Patrick Williams FOut
Nic Claxton COut
Jalen Smith FDay-To-Day
Tobe Awaka FDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

Cameron Carr GOut
Adou Thiero FOut
Ziaire Williams FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.