76ers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Saturday, February 13
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (4-1) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Saturday, February 13 at 5:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Thunder a 75% chance to win and projects a 107-115 score (76ers – Thunder), about 222 total points. This season, the Thunder are 3-0 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the Thunder and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Thunder L1, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 25% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers), Jalen Williams (Thunder) and Alex Caruso (Thunder)…. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 115 – 107 76ers, a margin of about 8.6 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Thunder will be without Jalen Williams or Alex Caruso (and 3 others). The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others).
- The overall strength gap (+7.6 vs +0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHIOKC
Players to watch
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #226.0pts / game
Alex CarusoG · #93.8assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #559.6reboundsRecent form
PHI
106-100W
114-106W
127-116L
106-93W
114-109OKC
116-104W
96-84W
108-101W
125-114L
120-96
OKC
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| PHI | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 4-1 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 115.8 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 106.9 |
| +0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +7.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 4-1 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 45-37 (-0.2) | Last season | 64-18 (+11.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.