Thunder vs 76ers prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 6
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (4-1) on Wednesday, January 6 at 7:30 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Thunder a 63% chance to win and projects a 113-109 score (Thunder – 76ers), about 222 total points. This season, the 76ers are 2-1 at home and the Thunder are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the 76ers and 4-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: 76ers W1, Thunder L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jalen Williams (Thunder), Alex Caruso (Thunder), Thomas Sorber (Thunder), Nikola Topic (Thunder), Cason Wallace (Thunder) and Jabari Walker (76ers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Thunder, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects 76ers 109 – 113 Thunder, a margin of about 4.0 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). The Thunder will be without Jalen Williams or Alex Caruso (and 3 others).
- The overall strength gap (+0.7 vs +7.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCPHI
Players to watch
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #226.0pts / game
Alex CarusoG · #93.8assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #559.6rebounds76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0reboundsRecent form
OKC
116-104W
96-84W
108-101W
125-114L
120-96PHI
106-100W
114-106W
127-116L
106-93W
114-109
OKC
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| OKC | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 4-1 |
| 115.8 | Points scored / game | 114.4 |
| 106.9 | Points allowed / game | 113.5 |
| +7.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 4-1 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 64-18 (+11.1) | Last season | 45-37 (-0.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.