Pistons vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Saturday, February 13
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) host the Detroit Pistons (4-1) on Saturday, February 13 at 3:30 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Pistons a 58% chance to win and projects a 115-112 score (Pistons – Trail Blazers), about 227 total points. This season, the Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home and the Pistons are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Trail Blazers and 4-1 for the Pistons (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Pistons W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jalen Duren (Pistons), Robert Williams III (Trail Blazers), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers) and Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 112 – 115 Pistons, a margin of about 2.7 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers will be without Robert Williams III or Chris Youngblood (and 1 other). The Pistons will be without Jalen Duren. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETPOR
Players to watch
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #222.6pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #27.8assists
Paul ReedF · #77.6reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsRecent form
DET
121-113W
128-111W
106-93L
111-97W
97-89POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| DET | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 115.4 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 107.8 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| +6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 60-22 (+8.2) | Last season | 42-40 (-0.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.