Pelicans vs Hawks prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 10
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (2-3) host the New Orleans Pelicans (0-4) on Wednesday, February 10 at 7:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hawks a 75% chance to win and projects a 113-121 score (Pelicans – Hawks), about 234 total points. This season, the Hawks are 0-2 at home and the Pelicans are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Hawks and 0-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Hawks L3, Pelicans L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 25% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Yves Missi (Pelicans), Mouhamed Gueye (Hawks) and Henri Veesaar (Hawks). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Hawks start with a clear edge. The model projects Hawks 121 – 113 Pelicans, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Hawks will be without Mouhamed Gueye or Henri Veesaar. The Pelicans will be without Yves Missi. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+2.7 vs -4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (119.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hawks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOATL
Players to watch
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #121.8pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #56.0assists
Derik QueenC · #229.2reboundsHawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #719.6pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #18.8assistsJalen JohnsonF · #19.6reboundsRecent form
NO
107-106L
123-120L
120-119L
141-135 OTL104-91ATL
132-125W
128-81L
121-114L120-110L
129-117
ATL
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| NO | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 2-3 |
| 115.7 | Points scored / game | 119.0 |
| 120.5 | Points allowed / game | 115.8 |
| -4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.7 |
| L4 | Current streak | L3 |
| 0-4 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 26-56 (-4.5) | Last season | 46-36 (+2.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.