Warriors vs Bulls prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 9
At a glance
The Chicago Bulls (1-4) host the Golden State Warriors (2-3) on Tuesday, February 9 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Warriors a 66% chance to win and projects a 119-113 score (Warriors – Bulls), about 232 total points. This season, the Bulls are 0-2 at home and the Warriors are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Bulls and 2-3 for the Warriors (current streaks: Bulls L3, Warriors W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Bulls played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors), Moses Moody (Warriors), Jimmy Butler III (Warriors), Patrick Williams (Bulls) and Nic Claxton (Bulls). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Warriors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 113 – 119 Warriors, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton. The Warriors will be without Kristaps Porzingis or Moses Moody (and 1 other).
- The overall strength gap (-7.2 vs -0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSCHI
Players to watch
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3028.8pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236.8assists
Yaxel LendeborgF · #19.2reboundsBulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2reboundsRecent form
GS
127-105L
111-108L
131-122W
134-114W
119-114CHI
135-92W
132-125L
124-120L
134-99L
133-127
CHI
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| GS | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 1-4 |
| 115.5 | Points scored / game | 115.6 |
| 116.4 | Points allowed / game | 124.1 |
| -0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 2-3 | Last 10 games | 1-4 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 37-45 (-0.6) | Last season | 31-51 (-5.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Bulls
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.