Bulls vs Warriors prediction NBA · Saturday, January 9
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (2-3) host the Chicago Bulls (1-4) on Saturday, January 9 at 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Warriors a 74% chance to win and projects a 113-121 score (Bulls – Warriors), about 234 total points. This season, the Warriors are 0-1 at home and the Bulls are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Warriors and 1-4 for the Bulls (current streaks: Warriors W2, Bulls L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 25% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Patrick Williams (Bulls), Nic Claxton (Bulls), Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors), Moses Moody (Warriors) and Jimmy Butler III (Warriors). Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
The Warriors start with a clear edge. The model projects Warriors 121 – 113 Bulls, a margin of about 8.1 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Warriors will be without Kristaps Porzingis or Moses Moody (and 1 other). The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton.
- The overall strength gap (-0.8 vs -7.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHIGS
Players to watch
Bulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2reboundsWarriors
Stephen CurryG · #3028.8pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236.8assists
Yaxel LendeborgF · #19.2reboundsRecent form
CHI
135-92W
132-125L
124-120L
134-99L
133-127GS
127-105L
111-108L
131-122W
134-114W
119-114
CHI
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| CHI | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 2-3 |
| 115.6 | Points scored / game | 115.5 |
| 124.1 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| -7.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.8 |
| L3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 1-4 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 1-2 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 31-51 (-5.2) | Last season | 37-45 (-0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bulls
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.