Match analysis Today's games NBA standings EuroLeague Track record

Timberwolves vs Nets prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 9

Tue, Feb 9 · 7:30 PM ETBarclays Center · DAZN (YES), DAZN MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

3-2 · away

Projected score

119-106

Brooklyn Nets

0-4 · home

85% win MINwin BKN 15%

FavoriteMIN

Projected margin12.9

Projected total226

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (0-4) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2) on Tuesday, February 9 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Timberwolves a 85% chance to win and projects a 119-106 score (Timberwolves – Nets), about 226 total points. This season, the Nets are 0-2 at home and the Timberwolves are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Nets and 3-2 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Nets L4, Timberwolves L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 19% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Nets played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves), Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves), Egor Demin (Nets) and Tyler Bilodeau (Nets). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Nets 106 – 119 Timberwolves, a margin of about 12.9 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. The Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards or Donte DiVincenzo. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (-8.4 vs +5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Timberwolves' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets

Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -8.4 / MIN +5.2 per game

-13.6

Home-court advantageNets at home

+2.3

Back-to-backNets played yesterday

-1.6

InjuriesBKN: 2 out, 0 questionable · MIN: 2 out, 0 questionable

0.0

Expected marginfor Nets

-12.9

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

19%

Timberwolves win by 10+

59%

Stat comparison Current season

MINBKN

118.7

Points scored / game

108.0

112.6

Points allowed / game

117.9

47.3 %

Field goal %

42.9 %

38.4 %

3-point %

36.7 %

40.6

3-pointers attempted / game

42.3

62.7 %

Free throw %

76.6 %

51.6

Rebounds / game

43.5

27.0

Assists / game

24.0

9.2

Steals / game

10.0

4.4

Blocks / game

4.0

16.2

Turnovers / game

17.5

Players to watch

Timberwolves

Anthony EdwardsG · #533.2pts / game

LaMelo BallG · #16.6assists

Rudy GobertC · #2712.2rebounds

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game

Julius RandleF · #305.8assists

Julius RandleF · #307.5rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

MIN

131-106W

115-93W

117-94L

127-125 OTL

119-114

BKN

L144-128L110-103L125-121L136-109L125-124 OT

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

MIN 85% · BKN 15%

ESPN BPI

MIN 81% · BKN 19%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

MIN		BKN
3-2	Record	0-4
118.7	Points scored / game	108.0
112.6	Points allowed / game	117.9
+5.2	Adjusted margin / game	-8.4
L2	Current streak	L4
3-2	Last 10 games	0-4
2-1 road	Home / road record	0-2 home
49-33 (+3.4)	Last season	20-62 (-10.0)
No	Played yesterday	Yes

Injury report Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards GOut

Donte DiVincenzo GOut

Injury report Nets

Egor Demin GOut

Tyler Bilodeau FOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.