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Nets vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Monday, November 23

Mon, Nov 23 · 7:30 PM ETTarget Center · NBCSN, DAZN MIN

Brooklyn Nets

0-4 · away

Projected score

106-122

Minnesota Timberwolves

3-2 · home

10% win BKNwin MIN 90%

FavoriteMIN

Projected margin15.9

Projected total227

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2) host the Brooklyn Nets (0-4) on Monday, November 23 at 7:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Timberwolves a 90% chance to win and projects a 106-122 score (Nets – Timberwolves), about 227 total points. This season, the Timberwolves are 1-1 at home and the Nets are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Timberwolves and 0-4 for the Nets (current streaks: Timberwolves L2, Nets L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 14% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Egor Demin (Nets), Tyler Bilodeau (Nets), Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) and Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Timberwolves 122 – 106 Nets, a margin of about 15.9 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards or Donte DiVincenzo. The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (+5.2 vs -8.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Timberwolves' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves

Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +5.2 / BKN -8.4 per game

+13.6

Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home

+2.3

InjuriesMIN: 2 out, 0 questionable · BKN: 2 out, 0 questionable

0.0

Expected marginfor Timberwolves

+15.9

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+

68%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

14%

Nets win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

BKNMIN

108.0

Points scored / game

118.7

117.9

Points allowed / game

112.6

42.9 %

Field goal %

47.3 %

36.7 %

3-point %

38.4 %

42.3

3-pointers attempted / game

40.6

76.6 %

Free throw %

62.7 %

43.5

Rebounds / game

51.6

24.0

Assists / game

27.0

10.0

Steals / game

9.2

4.0

Blocks / game

4.4

17.5

Turnovers / game

16.2

Players to watch

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game

Julius RandleF · #305.8assists

Julius RandleF · #307.5rebounds

Timberwolves

Anthony EdwardsG · #533.2pts / game

LaMelo BallG · #16.6assists

Rudy GobertC · #2712.2rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

BKN

L144-128L110-103L125-121L136-109L125-124 OT

MIN

131-106W

115-93W

117-94L

127-125 OTL

119-114

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

BKN 10% · MIN 90%

ESPN BPI

BKN 18% · MIN 82%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

BKN		MIN
0-4	Record	3-2
108.0	Points scored / game	118.7
117.9	Points allowed / game	112.6
-8.4	Adjusted margin / game	+5.2
L4	Current streak	L2
0-4	Last 10 games	3-2
0-2 road	Home / road record	1-1 home
20-62 (-10.0)	Last season	49-33 (+3.4)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Nets

Egor Demin GOut

Tyler Bilodeau FOut

Injury report Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards GOut

Donte DiVincenzo GOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.