Rockets vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, February 7
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (0-4) host the Houston Rockets (5-0) on Sunday, February 7 at 10:30 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Rockets a 91% chance to win and projects a 121-104 score (Rockets – Kings), about 226 total points. This season, the Kings are 0-2 at home and the Rockets are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Kings and 5-0 for the Rockets (current streaks: Kings L4, Rockets W5). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 13% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Kings played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Reed Sheppard (Rockets), Marcus Smart (Rockets), Steven Adams (Rockets), Dylan Cardwell (Kings), Maxime Raynaud (Kings) and Keegan Murray (Kings)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Kings 104 – 121 Rockets, a margin of about 16.7 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Kings will be without Dylan Cardwell or Maxime Raynaud (and 2 others). The Rockets will be without Reed Sheppard or Marcus Smart (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-10.1 vs +6.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (117.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUSAC
Players to watch
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2824.5pts / gameAlperen SengunC · #287.0assistsAlperen SengunC · #289.0reboundsKings
Zach LaVineG · #827.2pts / game
Domantas SabonisF · #117.2assistsDomantas SabonisF · #1116.5reboundsRecent form
HOU
128-110W
114-110W
121-114W120-110W
132-100SAC126-97L
121-96L
128-120L
123-112L130-103Head-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
HOU
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| HOU | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-0 | Record | 0-4 |
| 117.5 | Points scored / game | 110.2 |
| 109.7 | Points allowed / game | 122.1 |
| +6.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -10.1 |
| W5 | Current streak | L4 |
| 5-0 | Last 10 games | 0-4 |
| 3-0 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 52-30 (+5.2) | Last season | 22-60 (-10.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.