Warriors vs Hornets prediction NBA · Friday, February 5
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (3-2) host the Golden State Warriors (2-3) on Friday, February 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hornets a 55% chance to win and projects a 110-112 score (Warriors – Hornets), about 223 total points. This season, the Hornets are 2-1 at home and the Warriors are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Hornets and 2-3 for the Warriors (current streaks: Hornets L1, Warriors W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Hornets played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors), Moses Moody (Warriors), Jimmy Butler III (Warriors), Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets) and Grant Williams (Hornets)…. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hornets 112 – 110 Warriors, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). The Warriors will be without Kristaps Porzingis or Moses Moody (and 1 other).
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (115.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSCHA
Players to watch
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3028.8pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236.8assists
Yaxel LendeborgF · #19.2reboundsHornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4reboundsRecent form
GS
127-105L
111-108L
131-122W
134-114W
119-114CHA
110-103L
128-81W
115-110W
110-103L
97-89
CHA
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| GS | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 3-2 |
| 115.5 | Points scored / game | 111.6 |
| 116.4 | Points allowed / game | 110.3 |
| -0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-3 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 37-45 (-0.6) | Last season | 44-38 (+4.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.