Hornets vs Warriors prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 13
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (2-3) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-2) on Wednesday, January 13 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hornets a 51% chance to win and projects a 112-111 score (Hornets – Warriors), about 223 total points. This season, the Warriors are 0-1 at home and the Hornets are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Warriors and 3-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Warriors W2, Hornets L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Warriors played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets), Kylan Boswell (Hornets), Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors) and Moses Moody (Warriors)…. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Warriors 111 – 112 Hornets, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Warriors will be without Kristaps Porzingis or Moses Moody (and 1 other). The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others).
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (115.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHAGS
Players to watch
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4reboundsWarriors
Stephen CurryG · #3028.8pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236.8assists
Yaxel LendeborgF · #19.2reboundsRecent form
CHA
110-103L
128-81W
115-110W
110-103L
97-89GS
127-105L
111-108L
131-122W
134-114W
119-114
CHA
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| CHA | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 2-3 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 115.5 |
| 110.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| +1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.8 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-2 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 44-38 (+4.8) | Last season | 37-45 (-0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.